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No Tour for Astana

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Old 24-02.-2008, 03:25 PM   #226
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Default Re: No Tour for Astana

Quote:
Originally Posted by tambourlain
Like I just said - nothing improbable about it at all. Many, many athletes have their best years in their thirties.
Some sports that involve experience and mental aspects (like in baseball and cricket) may have guys peaking at 33-34. The physical demands are not as high a component of success as in running, swimming and cycling. Cycling is straight physical, with some tactical elements. In TT's it's straight physical. You may do better in races in the latter part of your career because you become the team leader and get better support. But you don't suddenly TT faster by 4-5 km/hr.

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So you are saying that Evans is a doper. Interesting.
Probably is. Hard to imagine him beating Levi last year and being clean.
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Old 24-02.-2008, 03:29 PM   #227
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Originally Posted by squidwranglr
I'm going to stay out of the primary subject of this "discussion" (using the term rather broadly), but I just wanted to point out that the above statement that "men physically peak from 25-30" is too unscientific and too generalized in a manner that specifically may not be applicable to endurance sports.

Here are the last ten years' winners of the Ironman World Championship in Kona and their ages at the time of their wins:

2007 Chris McCormack 34
2006 Normann Stadler 33
2005 Faris Al-Sultan 27
2004 Normann Stadler 31
2003 Peter Reid 34
2002 Tim DeBoom 32
2001 Tim DeBoom 31
2000 Peter Reid 31
1999 Luc Van Lierde 30
1998 Peter Reid 29

That computes to an average age of 31.2. This is one of the toughest endurance events in the world. The above data, and other evidence that you could dig up (I'd suggest sports physiology journals), seem to indicate that there may be physical, physiological and psychological factors that make elite endurance athletes peak later than might otherwise be expected.

Berend

Do you happen to have readily available the numbers from the 10 years preceding? It would be interesting to compare.
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Old 24-02.-2008, 03:34 PM   #228
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I'm curious though. In your opinion, why do you think it is that in the last 10 or 15 years, suddenly athletes are peaking in their 30s, and beating out their younger competition, when it used to be that athletes were forced to retire in their early 30s? Do you attribute it to evolution, along with nutrition and better knowledge about training/equipment, etc.? We're simply stronger and smarter today?

Don't really know. But it does seem like our parents and grandparents aged faster than we did. As an amateur I ran my best 10K at 37. I didn't have the kick or acceleration that I had in my 20s. But my endurance was actually a little better. Of course it wasn't a controlled test. But still, there seem to be more and more guys competing well later and later. At this point I don't see any problem with Levi's improvement at all. If he is still improving three years from now, that will be another matter.
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Old 24-02.-2008, 03:35 PM   #229
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Squid, of equal interest would be the ages of all participants in each of those 20 years of competition and then a calculation of median age. How many 20-somethings competed vs. 30 somethings . . . . .
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Old 24-02.-2008, 03:36 PM   #230
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Originally Posted by tambourlain
Don't really know. But it does seem like our parents and grandparents aged faster than we did. As an amateur I ran my best 10K at 37. I didn't have the kick or acceleration that I had in my 20s. But my endurance was actually a little better. Of course it wasn't a controlled test. But still, there seem to be more and more guys competing well later and later. At this point I don't see any problem with Levi's improvement at all. If he is still improving three years from now, that will be another matter.

problem is he is doping now dude.

go play your tambourine
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Old 24-02.-2008, 03:40 PM   #231
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Default Re: No Tour for Astana

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I think your "way past their physical prime" is just so much bull - especially when it comes to endurance athletes. I don't accept your numbers, and fortunately many great athletes who had their best performances in their 30s don't either.
Like Lance. That's a real good example..

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I never stated that dope tests pick up all dopers. My statement is that you can't punish people based upon suspicion. In the case of Leipheimer, your fairy tale rationalizations don't even pass the test of legitimate suspicion.
Before 2006... before OP... before the constant stream of dope violations, many stood by the fairy tale that only a few (maybe) in the peloton doped. Despite the existence of the omerta.

Now, after the cavalcade of revelations of the last two years (that discerning people could see even before then) it is only the seriously disillusioned who retain the fairy tale that doping is still a minor element of pro cycling. These people retain the belief that the notorious dope-doctor Michelle Ferrari was exclusively contracted by Lance Armstrong because he did really good blood lactate tests.

Take your head out of the sand. Your holding onto your positions against obvious evidence betray your stubbornness and ego-nurturing tendencies. Open your eyes. It might scare you. But the truth is great, and mighty above all things. The pandemic of doping must be rid from cycling. Apologists like you have been in the past, and will continue to be, the enemy of the sport.
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Old 24-02.-2008, 03:40 PM   #232
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Originally Posted by squidwranglr
seem to indicate that there may be physical, physiological and psychological factors that make elite endurance athletes peak later than might otherwise be expected.
Berend

I agree. I think if you did a comparison of - say - the average age of the top 100 meter sprinters for the last 10 years you would come up with an age that was considerably lower. But for endurance sports, the early to mid thirties is not a problem - and it may be an advantage.
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Old 24-02.-2008, 03:45 PM   #233
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Originally Posted by tambourlain
Don't really know. But it does seem like our parents and grandparents aged faster than we did. As an amateur I ran my best 10K at 37. I didn't have the kick or acceleration that I had in my 20s. But my endurance was actually a little better. Of course it wasn't a controlled test. But still, there seem to be more and more guys competing well later and later. At this point I don't see any problem with Levi's improvement at all. If he is still improving three years from now, that will be another matter.

Have you ever competed professionally (that's not sarcasm)? If not, I don't think you can compare amateur racing as a hobby to professional competition. Why? Because most of us amateurs actually have jobs ON TOP OF the sport. So, life gets in the way of training and such. So, it may not be comparing apples to apples. For instance, at 37 did you have less going on at work so you could focus more on training? Were you possibly in a better financial position to afford more in the way of training, equipment and coaching?

That was my point with the ironman as well. Generally speaking, people are more settled financially and in their careers in their 30s versus their 20s, so are in more of a position to take on a more regimented training program. So, I can totally buy and believe an amateur doing better in their 30s than 20s.
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Old 24-02.-2008, 03:45 PM   #234
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Squid, of equal interest would be the ages of all participants in each of those 20 years of competition and then a calculation of median age. How many 20-somethings competed vs. 30 somethings . . . . .

also Ironman is a pretty small catchment sport. Athletes usualy cross to it from one of the three disciplines. might cross late.

Then they have to develop a circa 9 hour energy system.


No other sport requires a nine hour energy system. no precedent.

So, all that input, may actually mean, the winners are later than what they would, if the Ironman sport was mainstream, starting from juniors. Yes, the schoolkids do triathlons. But triathlon still pales compared to cycling, swimming and running in the jnrs. Only surpasses swimming in adults.
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Old 24-02.-2008, 03:48 PM   #235
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Default Re: No Tour for Astana

Do they do hematocrit tests at the ironman? Blood doping using your own blood is nearly impossible to test for. All these comparisons rely on the assumption that the cited examples of athletic performance are not doped.
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Old 24-02.-2008, 03:48 PM   #236
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also triathlon rarely takes the best athletes, if Armstrong was a competent runner, dare say he would have been a champion triathlete, better than Simon Lessing who was probably the best ever Olympic distance triathlete.

Simon Lessing probably could not have cut it in any of the individual disciplines. There was one 1500 metre swimmer, a French guy, who competed in the Olympics in swimming, but no other world class athletes in triathlon from the individual disciplines.

Spencer Smith could not cut it on Linda McCartney. His arse was dropped on every stage.
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Old 24-02.-2008, 03:49 PM   #237
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Originally Posted by Crankyfeet
it is only the seriously disillusioned who retain the fairy tale that doping is still a minor element of pro cycling.

Have you noticed that you have now resorted to putting arguments in my mouth that I never made. I never said that doping is a minor element of pro cycling. But I will say that you cannot pick out the dopers based purely on criteria of success or failure. And no matter how big an element doping is, it is no excuse for punishing people based upon subjective and frivolous criteria.
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Old 24-02.-2008, 03:50 PM   #238
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Default Re: No Tour for Astana

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Have you ever competed professionally?
Yes.
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Old 24-02.-2008, 03:50 PM   #239
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Originally Posted by thunder
also Ironman is a pretty small catchment sport. Athletes usualy cross to it from one of the three disciplines. might cross late.

Then they have to develop a circa 9 hour energy system.


No other sport requires a nine hour energy system. no precedent.

So, all that input, may actually mean, the winners are later than what they would, if the Ironman sport was mainstream, starting from juniors. Yes, the schoolkids do triathlons. But triathlon still pales compared to cycling, swimming and running in the jnrs. Only surpasses swimming in adults.

Exactly why I inquired about the ages of all participants . . .
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Old 24-02.-2008, 03:50 PM   #240
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Originally Posted by tambourlain
Have you noticed that you have now resorted to putting arguments in my mouth that I never made. I never said that doping is a minor element of pro cycling. But I will say that you cannot pick out the dopers based purely on criteria of success or failure. And no matter how big an element doping is, it is no excuse for punishing people based upon subjective and frivolous criteria.

undoped cannot compete with doped.

you suggest contador and rasmussen were clean if you think LL was with them on bread and water. Fark off! get real
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