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Ignore if you are not interested in Israel/Lebanon Ceasfire...

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Old 24-08.-2006, 01:03 AM   #16
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Default Re: Ignore if you are not interested in Israel/Lebanon Ceasfire...

"The fact of the matter is that the Token on her trip to the Middle East never endorsed a ceasefire until it became apparent that Hezbollah were not going to be removed by Zionist/IDF."
Israel performed badly in this conflict - no denying it. I'm not going to waste my own time defending a botched operation. Most Israelis seem aware they need to get their ship in order.
However, it took Russia at leat 2 years to crack Chechnya with many setbacks. The first assault on Grozniy was a disaster.
Where are the Chechnyan terrorists now though? Did Russia listen to the U.N. as Israel has been doing or did Russia decided to finish the job?
It took some 2 years but Chechnya is no longer a terrorist state and a threat to Moscow.


Quote:
Originally Posted by limerickman
If you look at the chronology of events - you'll see that the world did nothing to prevent Israel invading Lebanon.
So to assert that the world stopped Israel is conjecture.

The fact of the matter is that the Token on her trip to the Middle East never endorsed a ceasefire until it became apparent that Hezbollah were not going to be removed by Zionist/IDF.
In fact the Token repeatedly stated that the USA would allow the IDF time to engage and dismantle Hezbollah's operation in Southern Lebanon.
Those engagements happened and Hezbollah remained in situ.

It is interesting to note the frequency and range of Hezbaollah attacks on Israel increased as the duration of the war extended.
After 21 days of fighting - Hezbollah launched 160 rockets in to Northern Israel.
The rate of increase in the volume of rockets fired shows that IDF offence and their creation of a buffer zone was ineffectual.



Hold on sec.

There were democratic elections in Lebanon in June 2005 - your country cited Lebanon as a haven for democracy within the Middle East, as result of this vote. Your country commended the fact that it was the first election in 29 years in the Lebanon.

The Lebanese people voted for the Hezbollah party in Southern Lebanon.
That's democracy.



Simplistic.
And revisionist.

Israel has been aggitating in that region for quite some time.
You seem to forget that it is Israel which invaded Lebanon on July 12th.

In addition, israeli actions in Gaza were further acts of provocation.
The Israeli's deliberately shelled Gaza beach on June 9th - killing innocent civilians.
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Old 24-08.-2006, 01:28 AM   #17
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Default Re: Ignore if you are not interested in Israel/Lebanon Ceasfire...

Quote:
Originally Posted by BillM
Yeah....you guys are good at spinning.


I am pretty awful at it to be honest, I just post reports with sources, and when I am wrong I say so. Spinners (like yourself) never admit they are wrong, they just pretend the world revolves around them..

Quote:
Originally Posted by BillM
Israels goal was to create a buffer zone and push Hezbollah back far enough to nearly eliminate the rocket attacks.


IF that is the case how come alleged Hezbollah militants are being shot just 3km from the border, hmm ?

Quote:
Originally Posted by BillM
They did so.


Got any evidence to prove it from any source other than the IDF, or a source that is quoting the IDF, or a source that is affiliated to the IDF ?

Quote:
Originally Posted by BillM
You can spin this all you want....


No need to spin it, let the facts speak for themselves. Ifs/Buts & Maybes are just that, they don't reflect reality.

Quote:
Originally Posted by BillM
but if the world had not protested so vehemently then Israel would have and could have destroyed Hezbollah.


Within Israel the blame is being laid with Olmert/Halutz/Peretz.

Quote:
Originally Posted by BillM
....the difficulty is that Hezbollah hides behind women, children and aid workers making it very difficult.


Attacking indiscriminately, killing, wounding and destroy civillian infrastructure simply because they happen to be living there is dumb, immoral and illegal. The fact that Israel (and you) recognise the problem, yet persist in attacking indiscriminately confirms that Israel (and you) are dumb, immoral and criminal.

For the record the IDF operates in exactly the same way as well. All those border towns have barracks, artillery posts, amunitions dumps and the like in them or nearby. All those IDF reservists were hiding behind their wives and children...

The fact of the matter is that invading armies will *always* find it nigh-on impossible to distinguish between hostile and friendly on enemy turf. The reason being that just about everyone is hostile *because* the invaders have been breaking stuff and killing people.

The days of agreeing on a field to fight on went out with plate mail armor, it is time you and your IDF chums got used to the harsh realities of war rather than whinge about it.

Quote:
Originally Posted by BillM
Everything that happened lies SQUARELY on the shoulders of Hezbollah...they are responsible for every civilian death imo....


In your opinion every last square inch of Lebanon should be destroyed (and by implication that will lead to the deaths of the majority of Lebanese).

Quote:
Originally Posted by BillM
I hope Israel doesn't stop until Lebanon is as flat as a prairie.


People who do not take responsibility for their actions are cowards and liars. When you say it's all Hezbollah's fault that the IDF attacked civillians in the very towns where they lived, you are simply making a liar and a coward out of the IDF.

Quote:
Originally Posted by BillM
their homes must be destroyed.


Steady on Adolf.

Quote:
Originally Posted by BillM
if they had not decided to enter Israel, kill 8 Israelis while kidnapping 2 soldiers then this action would not have happened.


The IDF and Olmert both claimed that the abduction happened on Lebanese turf. It was only after they had killed a few hundred Lebanese that they changed their story to fit their claims of provocation. At the start of this thread I outlined three incidents of the IDF breaking the Ceasefire with lethal consequences. By your very own calculus of revenge the entire state of Israel must be bombed "flat as a prarie".
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Old 24-08.-2006, 01:45 AM   #18
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Default Re: Ignore if you are not interested in Israel/Lebanon Ceasfire...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Carrera
It took some 2 years but Chechnya is no longer a terrorist state and a threat to Moscow.


Realistically speaking Chechnya was never a threat to Russia, terrorist or otherwise.

The vast majority of the fighting occurred on Chechnyan turf because the Russian army effectively *invaded* Chechnya. Given the vast imbalance of casualities it is clear that Russia is more of a threat to Chechnya than the other way around.

The same point stands with regard to Israel and Lebanon, and Israel and the Palestinians. You can try to claim otherwise but the facts will always be against you.
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Old 24-08.-2006, 01:50 AM   #19
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Default Re: Ignore if you are not interested in Israel/Lebanon Ceasfire...

The IDF has been following bad avice for far too long. Even the U.S. has shown itself to be too reluctant to really give Israel a free hand to sort this situation out.
Sadly, Israel isn't in the same situation as Russia where it can take its own course of action. Soon as the U.N. begins to seriously wring its hands, the U.S. gets cold feet and Israel is forced to back down.
If the IDF really wanted to destroy Hizbollah it could do it - it's just the degree of force it could use without causing excessive international outrage. Clearly it would involve massive civilian casualties as Hizbollah is hidden in urban areas. It would also take possibly six months of constant pounding till the organization fell or fled.
The job is half-done but that's the U.N.'s fault.

Quote:
Originally Posted by darkboong
The stated aims (as declared by Olmert) were (roughly in chronological order) :
1) Recover the two soldiers.
2) Prevent Hezbollah firing artillery into Israel (note : This occurred after the IDF had attacked Lebanese civillians some 80 miles away from the border).
3) Destroy Hezbollah.
4) Destroy everything that could remotely be used by Hezbollah, including schools, hospitals, playing fields, apartment blocks, petrol stations, bridges, airports and ports.
5) Destroy UNIFIL observation posts (preferably with UNIFIL dudes inside)
6) Destroy 10 civillian apartment blocks for every rocket fired (Dan Halutz came up with that one).
7) Establish a buffer zone by taking and controling of all Lebanese turf up to the Litani.
8) Plan 7 failed so hand it off to a UN force - but keep on shelling the area anyway.
9) Kill the Hezbollah Leadership while under ceasefire.



The IDF is attacking regardless of the ceasefire, so that condition is clearly irrelevent. So far Hezbollah appear to have been very restrained in the face of repeated provocation, although I don't expect that to last. My best guess is that the next round of fights will be kicked off after massive airstrikes by the IDF. The retaliation will probably take the form of the destroying every last IDF unit on Lebanese turf that can't run away quick enough.

Quite frankly if 60,000 troops can't defeat 3000 irregulars I don't see much hope for the IDF achieving any of the stated goals in Lebanon. The bigger issue for the IDF is tha they've been shown up, they are no longer "invincible". Decades of attacking kids throwing rocks and unarmored men firing small arms with Main Battle Tanks has led to complacancy and this debacle. The only goal the IDF can adequately fulfill is the systematic destruction of every last soft (civillian) target Lebanon, which I am sure they will resume before September is out.

The IDF relied upon Wehrmacht Blitzkreig tactics, using massive airstrikes and MBTs to advance quickly. The problem is that they aren't attacking the Maginot line, they're attacking a bunch of volunteers with RPG-7s. The fact of the matter is that MBT's are only really useful for scaring people, attacking soft-targets (eg: kids throwing rocks or firing small arms) and other MBTs. Tough break that they found out the hard way, let's hope they draw the sane conclusion that they can't win through violence.
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Old 24-08.-2006, 01:59 AM   #20
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Default Re: Ignore if you are not interested in Israel/Lebanon Ceasfire...

The BBC reports another foreign kidnapping in Gaza today. This is why I draw the comparison with Chechnya. Chechnya and Gaza, so far as I'm concerned, are the same - hotbeds for Jihadist fanatics.
Israel needs it's own version of Vladimir Putin, I think. Under Yeltsin, little progress was made in the Chechnyan war. The Russians did it all wrong and tried to fight Chechnyan militants house to house and they lost a lot of conscripts.
Still, Putin was more decisive. When the U.N. started to kick up a fuss and scream over terrorists human rights, I recall Russia fired one of its ICBM's as a warning to the U.N. to stay out of the situation. It was just a strong diplomatic gesture.
Then Putin hit Chechnya hard. The U.N. wasn't allowed any access in fact. The result is Chechnyan terrorism is a spent force where it used to be an unstable breeding ground for bombers and fanatics.
That's what Israel needs, I believe. Possibly Netanyahu would sort things out. The IDF has been too soft for too long and negotiation has only made matters worse and they should ignore the U.N. - the U.N. has let us down again, so it seems.

Quote:
Originally Posted by darkboong
Realistically speaking Chechnya was never a threat to Russia, terrorist or otherwise.

The vast majority of the fighting occurred on Chechnyan turf because the Russian army effectively *invaded* Chechnya. Given the vast imbalance of casualities it is clear that Russia is more of a threat to Chechnya than the other way around.

The same point stands with regard to Israel and Lebanon, and Israel and the Palestinians. You can try to claim otherwise but the facts will always be against you.
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Old 24-08.-2006, 02:02 AM   #21
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Default Re: Ignore if you are not interested in Israel/Lebanon Ceasfire...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Carrera
The IDF has been following bad avice for far too long. Even the U.S. has shown itself to be too reluctant to really give Israel a free hand to sort this situation out.
Sadly, Israel isn't in the same situation as Russia where it can take its own course of action. Soon as the U.N. begins to seriously wring its hands, the U.S. gets cold feet and Israel is forced to back down.
If the IDF really wanted to destroy Hizbollah it could do it - it's just the degree of force it could use without causing excessive international outrage. Clearly it would involve massive civilian casualties as Hizbollah is hidden in urban areas. It would also take possibly six months of constant pounding till the organization fell or fled.
The job is half-done but that's the U.N.'s fault.


As usual you're wrong.
No country anywhere has managed to beat a guerilla unit.

Doesn't matter how many missiles/rockets etc an army may have, when it's opponent is a guerilla force, the guerilla force will win out.
History shows this to be true.
In pure military terms, that war is unwinnable for Israel.

In relation to guerilla positions located in areas of dense population : israel locates it's military position in densely populated areas of Northern Israel especially.
The Guardian newspaper did an excellent piece on this last week shwoing positions located beside hospitals/schools in Northern israel.
Looks like the IDF use civilians for cover.
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Old 24-08.-2006, 02:41 AM   #22
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Default Re: Ignore if you are not interested in Israel/Lebanon Ceasfire...

The U.S. could have taken, say, Vietnam at any time. Seriously. The limitations were only set by diplomacy - the risk of war with the Soviets.
Same with Gaza. As I understand it, both the U.S. and Europe have been molly-coddling - even funding and financing - Gaza for decades. Israel has been seriously limited by the U.S. dependence on Arab oil - the diplomatic knock-on effect excessive force in Gaza by the IDF would have on oil markets i.e. upsetting the Saudis.
As most people are aware, the IDF could have literally converted both Gaza and Lebanon into a pile of dust. Guerilla warfare is all well and good if there are buildings and bunkers left to hide in. In reality, guerilla warfare didn't particularly help the Taliban - they were bombed out of their bunkers - and it didn't help the Chechnyans. It depends how hard you hit them.
How long did the Taliban last when confronted by a genuine army? They are only scoring successes against the British since the U.S. pulled out - which speaks volumes.
If Israel and America ever wise up, end the dependence on Arab oil and stop beating around the bush, the Gazan situation could be sorted out in a matter of weeks, I believe.


Quote:
Originally Posted by limerickman
As usual you're wrong.
No country anywhere has managed to beat a guerilla unit.

Doesn't matter how many missiles/rockets etc an army may have, when it's opponent is a guerilla force, the guerilla force will win out.
History shows this to be true.
In pure military terms, that war is unwinnable for Israel.

In relation to guerilla positions located in areas of dense population : israel locates it's military position in densely populated areas of Northern Israel especially.
The Guardian newspaper did an excellent piece on this last week shwoing positions located beside hospitals/schools in Northern israel.
Looks like the IDF use civilians for cover.
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Old 24-08.-2006, 02:41 AM   #23
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Default Re: Ignore if you are not interested in Israel/Lebanon Ceasfire...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Carrera
Israel needs it's own version of Vladimir Putin, I think. Under Yeltsin, little progress was made in the Chechnyan war.


Yeltsin *started* the --ing war in the first place.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Carrera
The Russians did it all wrong and tried to fight Chechnyan militants house to house and they lost a lot of conscripts.


They *have* to do that in order to kill them, and in doing so they hurt and anger the residents. That inevitably leads to the residents identifying more with the militants than the invaders. The same principle has applied since the dawn of time and it will continue to apply for the forseeable future, conscripts or no.

That is why violence really won't work unless one of the beligerants executes a comprehensive genocide.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Carrera
The result is Chechnyan terrorism is a spent force where it used to be an unstable breeding ground for bombers and fanatics.


As far as I know that has not changed, largely because the conditions on the ground have not changed. The conflict is reported as spreading to the surrounding regions and countries.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Carrera
The IDF has been too soft for too long and negotiation has only made matters worse


I am not aware of any official Israeli negotiation since 2001. The result is the situation we see today in Gaza and Lebanon.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Carrera
and they should ignore the U.N. - the U.N. has let us down again, so it seems.


They've been shooting UN troops since time immemorial, it would be nice if they did ignore UN troops for a change. Israel is letting the world down with it's beligerant stance, asn you are letting the UK down with your hatred of mulit-cultural society.
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Old 24-08.-2006, 02:48 AM   #24
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Default Re: Ignore if you are not interested in Israel/Lebanon Ceasfire...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Carrera
The U.S. could have taken, say, Vietnam at any time. Seriously. The limitations were only set by diplomacy - the risk of war with the Soviets.


What utter tosh. The limitations were on man-power and cash. There is absolutely no evidence that public opinion had any sway whatsoever, the US forces bailed out because they were getting swamped by the NVA and the costs were unsustainable.
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Old 24-08.-2006, 02:50 AM   #25
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Default Re: Ignore if you are not interested in Israel/Lebanon Ceasfire...

"Grozny, the Chechen capital, was engulfed by a pitched battle. After infantry assaults failed, the Russian military set out to pulverize the city into submission. Russian aircraft bombarded Grozny while armored forces and artillery hammered the city from the ground. After Grozny fell, the war moved to the countryside. Russian forces “pacified'' Chechen villages, attacking them with tanks, artillery, and aircraft, often regardless of whether they resisted."



Quote:
Originally Posted by limerickman
As usual you're wrong.
No country anywhere has managed to beat a guerilla unit.

Doesn't matter how many missiles/rockets etc an army may have, when it's opponent is a guerilla force, the guerilla force will win out.
History shows this to be true.
In pure military terms, that war is unwinnable for Israel.

In relation to guerilla positions located in areas of dense population : israel locates it's military position in densely populated areas of Northern Israel especially.
The Guardian newspaper did an excellent piece on this last week shwoing positions located beside hospitals/schools in Northern israel.
Looks like the IDF use civilians for cover.
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Old 24-08.-2006, 02:54 AM   #26
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Default Re: Ignore if you are not interested in Israel/Lebanon Ceasfire...

Update to the scoresheet ...

August 13th
Ceasefire commences.
Two hours later an IDF patrol kills 3 militants (or so they claim)

August 19th
IDF conducts a "commando" raid near Baalbek (60 miles from the Blue Line).
IDF conducts airstrikes in the area.

August 21st
IDF claims that it shot dead 3 suspected Hezbollah fighters in south Lebanon.

August 22nd
"An Israeli soldier was killed and three others wounded when their tank hit an Israeli-laid mine in southern Lebanon on Tuesday evening, the army said"

August 22nd
"Israeli soldiers entered the Lebanese border village of Rub Thalatheen and seized two residents, the official Lebanese news agency said"

August 22nd
"There was artillery fire near the Shebaa farms area at the convergence of Lebanon, Syria and the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights; Israel said it fired only onto its own territory near the border, as a deterrent, but Lebanese officials said Israeli troops had fired into a Lebanese village"

All sourced from the BBC which in turn sourced them from the Israeli authorities (or other sources where stated). I have not seen any reports of Hezbollah attacking the IDF or Israel since the ceasefire took hold, if anyone has seen reports, let me know times dates and sources.

Israel has violated the ceasefire at least 5 times (and shot itself up once). As far as I am aware Hezbollah have abided by the ceasefire.
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Old 24-08.-2006, 02:55 AM   #27
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Default Re: Ignore if you are not interested in Israel/Lebanon Ceasfire...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Carrera
The U.S. could have taken, say, Vietnam at any time. Seriously.


The US couldn't take Vietnam.

And the US didn't take Vietnam.

You're a fantasist.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Carrera
As I understand it, both the U.S. and Europe have been molly-coddling - even funding and financing - Gaza for decades


The EU has funded Gaza and Palestine.




Quote:
Originally Posted by Carrera
As most people are aware, the IDF could have literally converted both Gaza and Lebanon into a pile of dust. Guerilla warfare is all well and good if there are buildings and bunkers left to hide in..


Lebanon isn't a pile a dust.

But even if it were - how come after 34 days of war - Hizbollah was still able to fire rockets to within the interior of Israel - given the destuction to Lebanon that you claim?

You are wasting our collective time with the rubbish you're posting here.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Carrera
If Israel and America ever wise up, end the dependence on Arab oil and stop beating around the bush, the Gazan situation could be sorted out in a matter of weeks, I believe.


The USA created Israel in 1948 in order to have a conduit to the Middle East and it's oil.
Israel is a proxy - nothing more.

It's about the only factual thing that you have managed to post thus far.
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Old 24-08.-2006, 02:58 AM   #28
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Default Re: Ignore if you are not interested in Israel/Lebanon Ceasfire...

The Vietnam disaster was a bit of a myth. The politicians lost the war not the military.
My theory is also that the West probably wouldn't have beaten Hitler in WW2 without Stalin for similar reasons. Stalin was a monster but it takes a wolf to kill a bear. The only way Hitler could have been defeated was by another leader who was as uncivilized as he was.
Had the U.N. stood between Europe and Hitler we'd have lost the war very quickly.
I believe in human rights and what the U.N. endorses but sadly, human rights applied to tyrants and mass-murderers like Hitler doesn't seem to work. It's like hiring a peace activist as a bouncer in a nightclub - all you'll get is trouble and violence every night in the nightclub. That's why bruisers are hired instead.


Quote:
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What utter tosh. The limitations were on man-power and cash. There is absolutely no evidence that public opinion had any sway whatsoever, the US forces bailed out because they were getting swamped by the NVA and the costs were unsustainable.
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Old 24-08.-2006, 02:59 AM   #29
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Default Re: Ignore if you are not interested in Israel/Lebanon Ceasfire...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Carrera
"Grozny, the Chechen capital, was engulfed by a pitched battle. After infantry assaults failed, the Russian military set out to pulverize the city into submission. Russian aircraft bombarded Grozny while armored forces and artillery hammered the city from the ground. After Grozny fell, the war moved to the countryside. Russian forces “pacified'' Chechen villages, attacking them with tanks, artillery, and aircraft, often regardless of whether they resisted."


So it is your statement that Chechyna is at peace and that the Russian have won?
(can't wait for this answer!)
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Old 24-08.-2006, 03:02 AM   #30
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Default Re: Ignore if you are not interested in Israel/Lebanon Ceasfire...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Carrera
The Vietnam disaster was a bit of a myth. The politicians lost the war not the military.


You've lost it mate.

The US military were beaten by the NVA :
All the equipment, all the men, all of the technology could not defeat the NVA.
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