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#316 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Houston, TX
Posts: 712
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After thinking about this for a while I think there is a relatively easy and fool proof way to prove one way or another whether he doped or not. First I can see several possible explanations:
1) He doped 2) He didn't and the tests are just not valid 3) he didn't and the samples were contaminated (not likely since there are two distinct sample sets about a month apart) Whatever the case may be, the simple way to figure this out would be to draw blood at regular intervals, say weekly, over the period in which the suspected transfused blood cells die out. Testing these samples should then show a gradual decay in the second cell set until they all die out. Under the above testing if the second cell set does gradually die out and go away then I don't think anyone could say he didn't dope. If they don't go away, and over a significant period of time the same test results come back, then I would say the test is invalid. This leads to another question which is, since the two sample sets are displaced in time, you would expect that the test results for each would show a difference in the decay of the transfused cell line. I wonder if there is any evidence that this has occurred or not? |
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#317 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Anchorage, Alaska, USA
Posts: 1,672
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Quote:
If he doped, he likely had expert help. Maybe this help knows a way to maintain that second line to appear just the same in the tests, reinfusing blood at the rate of decay. Then what does it prove? Nada. I don't know if this can be done. If he were locked down in some kind of testing facility and unable to get any more infusions, then this would eliminate the redoping possibility. I don't see him doing that though because I think it would prove him guilty instead of not guilty. He might argue that he won't do it because the original samples were somehow both contaminated. |
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#318 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
Posts: 1,848
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I mean no offense to anyone but I really doubt that a bunch of people on an internet forum are going to unearth a flaw in the testing methods that somehow slipped by the experts. Or develop an improved testing method that the experts missed. I mean c'mon! Do you really think you're going to come-up with something that the experts didn't see? And this chimera theory? Are you kidding me? Yeah, okay chimeras do exist but they're very rare and in this case it just happens to be a professional cyclist where a much more plausible explanation would be that he's getting transfusions.
I'm a big fan of Tyler Hamilton but if you take a step back (instead of drowning in the details) the reality of it is that three of four samples taken from TH have tested positive with the fourth sample being unable to be tested. Do any of you really believe that "flase positives" could possibly explain this? Combine that with his comment that the news hit him "like a bolt of lightning out of a clear blue sky" despite the fact that it has been reported that he had been warned on two previous occasions that his samples had displayed some mysterious results and it becomes plainly obvious (and unfortunate) that there's something very fishy going on. We'll see how it pans-out. |
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#319 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 121
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Quote:
I would agree whole heartedly. I think time will tell. I suspect the test developers have thought out most of the potential problems. I would really like to know the veracity of the reports that TH had been warned before. I have always wondered if the UCI/Tour etc keeps a list either officially or "in their heads" of people they suspect are doping based on fluctuations in blood counts or % of reticulocytes. I remember the head of testing at the Salt Lake city winter olympics stating that although only 3 people tested positive for epo- their where ~ 100 blod tests that where suspicious. I have read that in the 2002 tour the officials became suspicious of Rumsas because his Hct rose during the Tour. |
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#320 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 277
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Has anyone noticed that the peloton has been rather silent about Tyler? If Tyler were clean, you would think that his teammates, friends, training partners would be defending Tyler in the media "Tyler is an upstanding guy, completely innocent" etc, etc. (maybe they are and I just haven't seen the stories?)
Lance will vocally defend Dr. Ferrari but he won't come out and defend a former teammate and friend? If an innocent friend of mine were caught up in something this I would be all over the media fighting his battle for him. All Lance said in the previous quote was that he was "surprised". Has Lance been quoted saying anything else about this? |
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#321 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Anchorage, Alaska, USA
Posts: 1,672
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Quote:
I've heard this mentioned a couple of times elsewhere about Tyler having been previously warned. Do you have the specifics on that. I wonder if you can share them with us. I am very interested in exactly what events Tyler had suspicious test results. I think it would help us to understand better what's going on with him. Thanks! By the way, if Tyler had suspected tampering, all he would have had to do would have been to get a test again right after the Vuelta B result became known. Then he would have been able to say, "hey, my result is negative. That makes a true positive highly unlikely in the Vuelta due to the rate of decay of the suspect red blood cells--90 to 120 days." That he didn't do this makes his story unbelievable. |
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#322 | |||
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 121
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Quote:
It was passed along in the following article http://www.bicycling.com/article/0,...category_id=441 Quote:
Quote:
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#323 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
Posts: 1,848
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Quote:
Yeah, the only source I would've been able to point to is the bicycling.com article. And I think that it was already linked earlier in this thread. So Perro Loco has done better than I would've been able to do in sighting the source. |
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#324 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Anchorage, Alaska, USA
Posts: 1,672
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Quote:
It sounds like Hamilton was on something when he went up Dauphine Libere. The press said that Armstrong had failed only a short time before the Tour de France on that mountain, but his time was his best ever. That just tells you something about Mayo's and Hamilton's performance that day, having finished 1, 2 and considerably ahead of Lance. It's interesting that the both of them performed miserably at the TdF. I couldn't figure out at the time how Hamilton had managed to pull off such a strong performance up DL. Now I think I know why. |
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#325 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Everett, Washington
Posts: 316
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Quote:
I think Lance knew that you didn't have to peak until about 10 days into the Tour. I think he wasn't interested in peaking in Dauphine. He probably did his final "tune-up" training after the Dauphine. Look at Basso, he wasn't at his peak either.
__________________
Happiness is a choice that requires effort at times. |
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#326 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 277
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Business as usual for Tyler. Its almost like nothing happened.
Quote:
I didn't realize that getting caught cheating was so lucrative. Can someone put me in contact with their EPO supplier? I would like to get started on my doping program right away! Here are some photos of Tyler at Interbike: Still a hit with the ladies Another delusional female fan, the cornerstone of Tyler's fanbase. A line up of more delusional fans, including some delusional men! (click to enlarge and widen the photo) |
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#327 |
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 277
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I am still very sceptical about that L'equipe article. First off, it says that Tyler was warned about blood abnormalities. But my understanding is that the test that caught Tyler was only first used at the Olympics. So how were any abnormalities detected at these earlier events? Unless the abnormalities were in relation to other doping testing procedures??
Also, the wording of that one article seemed a little suspicious. Since when is the UCI "yellow carding" cyclists?! Like its a football game! That made me laugh. The whole wording and scenario just seems odd to me. |
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#328 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 121
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Quote:
Regarding the testing, if this is true I suspect it had to do with tradional measuring of hematocrit and +/- reticulocytes. An increase in hematocrit over a week long race or significant differences in hematocrit from the tour of romadie and dauphine or big jumps in reticulocytes (young red blood cells). |
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#329 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: Everett, Washington
Posts: 316
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Quote:
Tyler wasn't accused of EPO he was accused of blood doping with another persons blood cells in the Olympics. THis involves transfusing red blood cells into your body from another person increasing your hematocrit. THey look for a wide variation of rbc's indicating a transfusion.
__________________
Happiness is a choice that requires effort at times. |
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#330 | |
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Anchorage, Alaska, USA
Posts: 1,672
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Quote:
I think so too. In fact, I was a little worried that he was peaking too early because he did his best time up Dauphine. But he that only goes to show that he was in fabulous form for this year's tour. He was on the upswing. Mayo and Hamilton were both on their way down. It's kind of hard to see it until after the fact, but Armstrong didn't seem too worried to me about those guys. |
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